Articles

Weekly Update - November 30, 2023

Eurozone: The French Insee consumer survey reflects the complexity of the Eurozone's many headwinds. AfD and BSW hit a combined 31% in today's German opinion poll

China's capital balance data underscore the extent of foreign companies' mistrust in Beijing, regardless of recent attempts of moderation

Chaos in Berlin and the Dutch election do not bode well for the EU-China summit. The air is being let out of von der Leyen's balloon

Podcast interview with Anders Overvad, Think Tank Europa: De-risking is an existential necessity for the European Union [language: Danish]

The EU's 'political centre' has only one shot left. What does a strong shift to the right mean for the financial market?

Weekly Update - November 23, 2023

Eurozone: Falling inflation does not change the storyboard. Factory gate prices are still up by 40% since 2019 - and de-risking is coming

EU Commission: De-risking from China or face trouble

Weekly Update - November 16, 2023

The Xi-Biden meeting is paramount, but less so than the interpretation of 'true intentions' in Washington and Beijing

What keeps the US economy going - and what does it mean for 2024? Unfortunately, even more concerns

Different forecasts for the Eurozone are based on fundamentally different geopolitical scenarios

De-risking is deflationary in China and inflationary in the EU, but Brussels maintains a hawkish stance towards Beijing

Weekly Update - November 9, 2023

The European Union faces an 'auto tsunami' from China. Will Brussels act? Yes, but not due to corporate interests in Europe

The two pillars of the Insightview storyboard remain valid for the Eurozone - Headwinds from geopolitics and demographics

What is the impact of 'high policy rates for longer' when investors believe central banks are wrong?

Weekly Update - November 2, 2023

The Federal Reserve needs a significant increase in unemployment to change policy. The federal debt maturity structure does not look good

Beijing considers a 'more friendly' approach to the private sector - forced by economic reality. But for how long? India raises the level of trade tensions with Beijing

No Updates on Oct. 30-31 - Business Trip

A short note on the rising risk of a trade war between the EU and China

French economic statistics show why the European economy is amidst an entirely different situation than in the past

Sweden's NIER survey reflects what the ECB is facing - but also raises questions about monetary policymakers' credibility

Weekly Update - October 26, 2023

Germany's road to recovery will be bumpy but necessary. Soon, Brussels is expected to provide 'help'

Germany: Consumer sentiment declines. The political centre is 'under siege' by AfD, and now a new party on the far-left

China's excess capacity challenge: Has the 'mother of all global dumping' just started?

A brief summary in English of opinions expressed by Klaus Anker Petersen in yesterday's podcast interview about China

The growing concerns about China - and why the European Union finally sees the writing on the wall

Are US Treasuries a screaming buy?

Podcast interview with Klaus Anker Petersen: China remains lucrative for European companies - but it has become a more difficult market [Language: Danish]

Weekly Update - October 19, 2023

Deciphering China's economic growth and Xi Jinping's vision. Beijing has not demonstrated maturity in its new role as a global superpower

Strengthening Europe's defence - bypassing the EU's bureaucratic interference

Navigating turbulent times: The impact on consumer sentiment and monetary policy

Beijing is 'supposed' to react more forcefully to economic headwinds - but Xi Jinping has a different agenda

USA inflation: The same monetary tightening as in 2004-2006 but with a different outcome due to a fundamentally different environment

Weekly Update - October 12, 2023

USA: Inflationary pressure will rise without a significant increase in unemployment

Beijing plans to launch a 'symbolic growth package' - but households let down again

US NFIB survey: Despite significant monetary tightening, labour shortages are prevailing. Loan availability is declining

A brief summary in English of opinions expressed by Camilla T.N. Sorensen in yesterday's podcast interview about Hama's terror attack in Israel

Israel's 'September 11': The Middle East powder keg could ignite any moment. Hamas terrorist attack will cast global immigration in an even less favourable light

Podcast interview: The Middle East is a powder keg that could explode anytime. Is it really in the interest of the Chinese and Americans? [language: Danish]

An analysis of the future yield curve and bond yields based on three assumptions

Germany at a dangerous crossroads: The window of opportunity for Berlin could close rapidly. Several headwinds are now hitting the economy

A follow-up chart: US corporate debt, higher interest rates and falling corporate net-interest payments

Weekly Update - October 5, 2023

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